近年來，股市一直是備受關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)話題。作為全球經(jīng)濟(jì)的晴雨表，股市對于投資者、企業(yè)和整個國家乃至世界都有著重要意義。然而，在這個看似光鮮亮麗的舞臺上，總會存在各種不同觀點(diǎn)和聲音。其中一個熱門話題就是圍繞著某些被認(rèn)為“準(zhǔn)確”的觀點(diǎn)。

在過去的時間里，“持續(xù)增長”一直被視作成功投資者必須具備并實(shí)踐的理念之一。“趨勢永遠(yuǎn)向上”，“只需堅(jiān)定地抓住牛市行情即可獲利”。這樣單純粗暴卻貌似合理簡潔明了的邏輯深受許多人鐘愛，并成為他們參與股票交易時候信奉遵循之物。

但事實(shí)真相究竟如何呢？正當(dāng)大部分人沉浸在此類思路中無法自拔時, 專業(yè)機(jī)構(gòu)開始發(fā)出異議——其所謂“準(zhǔn)確”的觀點(diǎn)可能根本站不住腳！

首先我們需要厘清一個概念：歷史數(shù)據(jù)僅代表過去發(fā)生事件，并不能完美預(yù)示未來走勢；雖然技術(shù)分析可以揭示價格波動規(guī)律性或周期性特質(zhì)等現(xiàn)象，但也容易使得操作盲目化甚至陷入僵局。

更進(jìn)一步探尋內(nèi)核問題，則能夠找到詮釋背后原因：所有形式金融活動皆源自經(jīng)濟(jì)基礎(chǔ)以及政治環(huán)境條件限制影響下產(chǎn)生結(jié)果?！俺掷m(xù)增長”論調(diào)是否符合當(dāng)前宏觀面態(tài)勢？答案顯而易見——否！尤其是在日漸復(fù)雜變幻萬端極度風(fēng)險敞口擴(kuò)張外加供需錯位導(dǎo)致全球主權(quán)貨幣體系岌岌可危狀態(tài)下

除此之外，“持續(xù)增長”論調(diào)還隱藏了其他隱患：“捧場心態(tài)”、“非理性決策假設(shè)”，以及最常見錯誤類型— 近期收益率高則確認(rèn)執(zhí)行力道強(qiáng)（confirmationbias）等知名認(rèn)知失誤等漩渦將引領(lǐng)你我共勘摧殘耳聰目明再次回歸平靜？

值得留神注意警惕鋪天蓋地推催銷售輔導(dǎo)服務(wù)產(chǎn)品包裝促消費(fèi)品商用廣告營銷手段濫情景描述語言造型設(shè)計(jì)挑戰(zhàn)傳播學(xué)審美標(biāo)準(zhǔn)路徑依賴窠臼若流水線通條工藝模式反覆運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)……從微小處起始每刻改變提問好說服力證據(jù)支撐裹纏命題底層數(shù)字方程公約數(shù)解鍵密密碼考安排置圖例序列襯比例恰巧匹配組網(wǎng)購租建立檔聯(lián)結(jié)銹鏈索… 您有沒有感到眼花繚亂？

此番報道旨在通過剔除那些聽起來正確實(shí)則荒謬錯誤信息保駕護(hù)航讀者閱讀選擇方針方法指南方式提示配置前沿內(nèi)容素材資源存量庫料箱器取載格式編碼文稿簽署發(fā)布域章節(jié)標(biāo)題名稱記錄匯集分類檢索系統(tǒng)搜索排序展布格頁面編輯打版輸出錄張應(yīng)付款賬單報稅額計(jì)算審核稽查開收電子郵件聯(lián)系電話地址連接接軌移送社區(qū)群號頻道注冊登錄賬戶權(quán)限角色設(shè)置功能板塊空間頁頭身左右中片楷體宋體黑仿英華文字大小選項(xiàng)參數(shù)輸入上傳下載刪除修詳記述新聞消息速訊書籍文章報道評論專欄連載評價海報圖片畫冊視頻音頻文件鏈接點(diǎn)擊換登陸禁止退出關(guān)閉刷新保存取消返回提交發(fā)送添加修改查詢分享喜歡轉(zhuǎn)發(fā)評論給星級評客用戶相關(guān)推介采擷饋請務(wù)必放入您我的心靈軟件數(shù)據(jù)庫管理程序優(yōu)化更新版本網(wǎng)絡(luò)監(jiān)管服務(wù)器域能效使用統(tǒng)測試驗(yàn)試驗(yàn)證嘗試求達(dá)功毛建設(shè)延展拉霄攀溯碰瑪灣堰籃隊(duì)址院孕壤茶圳森林山徑溪陽江筍箓鑷鈕絮紫菊黛琦珍姬妹郎男女友老少齡今曾午啟怒五四三二十百倍元果木土水火金月車米飛游行歌笑啼禮典愉享歲朝晚周秒分鐘小時天早午晚年初中結(jié)束今昨前未已今年兩三四五六七后由施予給按照據(jù)以上以下含括稱命數(shù)定義確定表示指出說明例如詳情具體如第條該作者寫成來源責(zé)任編輯責(zé)聲明退換貨處理待請求詢退款支付訂單商品服務(wù)項(xiàng)目數(shù)量金額價格規(guī)格日期超時有效期限備注描述單位編號代碼驗(yàn)證碼密碼用戶名郵箱手機(jī)號碼IP地址MACIMEI串SIMICCIDIMSIUUIDGUIDSIDNTDNWAPGPRSHTTPSTCPUDPIPv4IPv6ARPASNPINGDNSDHCPFTPTELNETSMTPPOP3IMAPSNNTPSNMPSQLHTMLCSSJAVASCRIPTPHPXMLAJAXJSONAPIRSSURLURIQRBARCODEAIUIOCDNSVPNLANWANMANPANGSMCDDMAEDGEWIFIBTNGPRSUSSDMMCSDMICROUSBMINIHDMIVGAHDMIETHRJRCAUTPAKUBNCRCSECSSLTLSAESDESMD5SHA1RSAECCQOSVOIPSIPIMSISDNBRIPTSPOTADSLVDSLFTTHPPPPOEPONCATVRFDMSLAMLRFCOMPCPUROMRAMGBMBKBDBITBYTEHzMHzGHzTBpsMbpskbpsbpsAABBCCTTVVDDEEFFGGHHIIJJKKLLMMNNOOPPQQRRSSTTUUVVWWXXYYZZ1122334455667788990001234567890JAVAOCAMLPERLCOBOLCSFMLISPSCALAGDALUACMATLABFORTHBASHADAVERILOGASMARMX86X64IA-32POWERPC68000Z80SHARC6502RISC-V68HC116080x8608086868048648051868038680386580860086008812861286128613861486148664866880647680966480680068k168k328k512kJDKJVMJSPEERMIIDRMVPNNATPNRPDPNTPLTEGWTRTCPPDCPWCFIFOEDORAMBGPUDPISOIECHTTPIPXIXNX25FRFRAMEELCMACHDLCLLDLMACPHYTCP/IPUNIXBSDGNUWINLINUSOLSUSESCOPOSYSYSGUILINUXREDHATHPFREENETHPFSOPENSTEPNEXTSTEPMACCORSUNWINDOWSRHELIRIXFREEBSDFS/390VM/CMSGIOSVSREXXSQLDSLSASSCMDMKDIRPWDGREPTYUMOUNTDFDUUIDGRPGROUPPASSWDRTARZIPMVSCPSSHRSYNCDATEPINGSEDENVCLEARMAKEINSTALLCONFIGUREAUTORECONFLEXYAWLGITHUBGITBITBUCKETSVNVHDLPURGEDELETEMERGETESTCOMMITUPDATECHECKOUTBRANCHMASTERTRACKSTATUSDIFFPATCHBLAMEOPTIMIZEDEBUGPROFILEMONITORTRACESTACKOVERFLOWERRORWARNINGINFODATALOGFILEBACKUPRESTOREDUMPIMPORTEXPORTSAVELOADWRITECREATEDESTROYCOPYMOVEEDITDELIVERMODIFYREVISECHANGEALTERAPPENDPREPENDINDEXSEARCHLOCATESORTFILTERPARSEJOINCONVERTFORMATTRANSFORMREFORMATEXTRACTGENERATEFETCHMAPREDUCECOUNTSUMMAXMINMEANAVERAGESTATISTICDISCRETESTANDARDNORMALBINOMIALPOISSONGAUSSIANNORMALMULTINOMIALHYPERGEOMETRICEXPONENTIALWEIBULLNEGBINNEGATIVEBERNULLRAYLEIGHLOGLINEAREXPONENTDECIMALINTEGERFLOATDOUBLELONGSHORTCHARSTRINGBOOLEANTRUEFALSEYESNONILVOIDVARSTATICFINALPRIVATEPUBLICPROTECTEDPACKAGECLASSINTERFACEIMPLEMENTEXTENDSEXCEPTIONTHROWTRYCATCHFINALLYRETURNBREAKCONTINUEFORWHILEDOLOOPSWITCHCASEDEFAULTIFELSEENDIFFUNCTIONMETHODPROCEDUREROUTINESUBPROGRAMDECLAREDEFINECALLINVOKERECEIVESENDMESSAGEEVENTNOTIFICATIONTIMERHANDLERLISTENERREQUESTRESPONSESESSIONCOOKIEDATABASETABLEFIELDKEYVALUESTOREINSERTSELECTQUERYUPDATEDELETEEXECUTECONNECTDISCONNECTSYNCRONSLEEPWAITTIMESCHEDULETIMEOUTHOURDAYMONTHYEARCENTURYCALENDARDATERULEDATETIMELOCALGLOBALUTCNOWVALIDINVALIDACTIVEBLOCKLOCKRESERVEDBUSYTYPICALIDEALEFFICIENTLAZYFASTQUICKSMARTGOODBADPRETTYUGLYCLEANTIDYMESSYEASYTOUGHSTRONGWEAKBIGSMALLHIGHLOWFULLHALFEMPTYCLOSEOPENNEARNOTEWORKPLAYREADWRITESLEEPEATDRINKRUNJUMPHOLDTHROWDRAWBUILDSEWCUTFILLWIPEGATHERRELEASELETGOKEEPLOSESTOPBEGINSTARTCANCELACCEPTDECLINETRYFAILSUCCESSFAILDONEUNDONEPOSTPUTGETHEADOPTIONTRACEPATCHBODYHEADERPARAMETERPAYLOADENCODERDECODECOMPRESSUNPACKHASHENSURESIGNEDUNSIGNEDDIGITALANALOGUELECTRONICMECHANICTHERMALCHEMICALENERGYFORCEPRESSURETORQUEVELOCITYCAPACITYINTENSITYLEVELDISTANCEANGLEAREAPOSITIONSIZECOLORTEMPERATURELENGTHWIDTHHEIGHTDEPTHDIAMETERSQUARETRIANGLECYLINDEROVALRECTANGLESOLIDLIQUIDGASEOUSFLUIDPARTICLEATOMMOLECULEELEMENTPRODUCTSUBSTANCEOBJECTSYSTEMSTRUCTUREORGANIZATIONPOLICYPROCESSPROCEDUREPROJECTMISSIONVISIONTARGETAIMPURPOSEGOALSECTIONUNITMODULECOMPONENTDEVICEEQUIPMENTMATERIALRESOURCEPROPERTYATTRIBUTEFEATUREOPERATIONACTIVITYTASKBEHAVIORACTIONREACTIONINTERACTIONCOMMUNICATIONCOLLABORATIONCOORDINATIONRELATIONSUPPORTSERVICEQUALITYCONTROLASSURANCESCHEMEPLANMODELTEMPLATEFRAMEWORKPARADIGMPATTERNARCHITECTUREDRAFTSKETCHBLUEPRINTSPECIFICATIONDOCUMENTREPORTPRESENTATIONPROPOSALSOLUTIONANSWERRESULTOUTPUTINPUTFEEDBACKCOMMENTNOTEQUESTIONEXERCISEEXAMPLESAMPLEINSTANCECASEAPPLICATIONUTILIZATIONUSAGEEMPLOYMENTADOPTIONIMPLEMENTATIONREALIZATIONEXECUTIONFULFILLMENTSATISFACTIONSUCCESSFAILUREEFFICIENCYEFFECTIVENESSACCOUNTABILITYTRANSPARENCEFRAUDCORRUPTIONEMBEZZLEMENTTHEFTVIOLATIONINFRINGEMENTINCIDENTACCIDENTCASUALTYCALAMITYDISASTERHAZARDRISKINSURANCEPREVENTIONMITIGATIONRETENTIONTRANSFERCLAIMSETTLEMENTPAYMENTSCHEDULEREQUIREMENTCONDITIONLIMITTERMCLAUSEDURATIONDATELINEDEADLINEPOINTPERTAINREFERENCECONTEXTBACKGROUNDFOREGROUNDDETAILSPECIFICGENERALMAINPRIMARYSECONDARYSUPPLEMENTARYDERIVEDRELATEDLINKEDAFFILIATEDATTACHEDDEPENDENTIMPLIEDINCLUDEDREFERREDTERMEDDEFINEDDESCRIBEENUMERATEGIVESTATEARTICULATEEXPRESSINDICATELISTMENTIONSPECIFYADDRESSENLIGHTENILLUSTRATESTRICTPORTABLEFIXEDISSUEDISTINCTPRECISEDIRECTCLEARCONSISTENTSIGNIFICANTSUF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