近期，原油市場的波動(dòng)引起了廣泛關(guān)注。國際期貨市場上，原油價(jià)格出現(xiàn)了明顯的分歧走勢，讓投資者們莫衷一是。

在過去幾個(gè)月里，隨著全球經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇邁入快車道，對能源需求的預(yù)期也愈發(fā)樂觀。然而，在這種背景下，各家機(jī)構(gòu)和專家卻紛紛就未來原油價(jià)格做出截然不同的判斷。

首先看美國主要交易所WTI（西德州中質(zhì)石油）原油期貨合約表現(xiàn)：最新數(shù)據(jù)顯示，在連續(xù)數(shù)周大幅震蕩后, WTI 原油價(jià)格似乎步入平穩(wěn)階段，并且持續(xù)保持相對較高水平。受益于美國境內(nèi)疫情控制良好、經(jīng)濟(jì)活力增強(qiáng)等因素影響, 這一趨勢得到了進(jìn)一步鞏固。

與此同時(shí), 歐佩克及其它產(chǎn)油國組成的聯(lián)盟OPEC+達(dá)成限產(chǎn)協(xié)議以來已有數(shù)季度時(shí)間；供給端逐漸收緊帶動(dòng)整體行情向好方向發(fā)展. OPEC 官員表示他們將會(huì)堅(jiān)定執(zhí)行目前生效至2022年底每日600萬桶減產(chǎn)政策.

但與之形成鮮明反差的是布倫特原油作為基準(zhǔn)品種更多地被認(rèn)可并使用: 由于歐洲局部地區(qū)仍面臨封鎖延長或再次加碼風(fēng)險(xiǎn)導(dǎo)致人氣外溢使得該商品價(jià)值須重新評估; 國際社會(huì)擔(dān)心抵消通脹壓力可能推遲央行緩解手法從而打擊金融市場信心

業(yè)內(nèi)人士指出：“當(dāng)前全球范圍內(nèi)存在諸多不確定性因素：包括新增變異毒株傳播速度、各大工業(yè)化國放松量化寬松程度是否超標(biāo)等問題都牽動(dòng)著投資者神經(jīng)。”

總體來看, 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